Tuesday, January 18, 2005

maybe things aren't as bad.

I am trying to be optimistic here. Actuarial psephologist (amongst other things) Andrew Leigh has pointed out that, within hours of Latham's resignation from the ALP leadership, Labour has shortened from $3.00 to $2.55.

He equates this to an increase in the probability of an ALP victory at the next Federal election from 33 to 39 per cent. And this is for a party without a leader.


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